Shell’s net profit more than doubled from last year to US$9.84-billion in the second quarter, beating expectations, helped by higher energy prices and increased market volatility during the Middle East conflict.
Higher oil and gas prices, stronger liquefied natural gas (LNG) and oil trading and improved chemicals margins helped support the British major’s earnings, offsetting lower sales volumes caused by disruptions to its Qatar operations.
Analysts had expected Shell’s adjusted earnings, its measure of net profit, of US$8.92-billion, according to a company-provided consensus, compared with US$4.26-billion a year earlier.
Shell has benefited from the market disruptions and volatility caused by the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, creating more opportunities for the large trading businesses operated by companies such as Shell, BP and TotalEnergies.
Shell’s refineries were running at 102 per cent of their nameplate capacity during the quarter to make the most of high fuel prices, which helped increase production of jet fuel by a fifth from a year ago, according to a Shell spokesperson. Shares in Shell gained 1.6 per cent, outperforming a gain of 0.4 per cent in the broader European energy sector.
Highest profit since 2022
Profits in the quarter were Shell’s second-highest on record, surpassed only by the second quarter of 2022, when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine upended global energy markets.
It reported its highest operating cash flow, including working-capital movements, since 2022. Still, it said it would maintain the pace of its share buyback program at US$3-billion over the next three months.
Profits from Shell’s integrated gas business, which includes the world’s biggest LNG trading desk, comfortably beat expectations at US$2.7-billion, 55-per-cent above last year’s, despite its gas production falling 31 per cent quarter-on-quarter. Its chemicals and products unit, home to its oil product trading desk, also outperformed expectations, jumping to US$2.9-billion from US$118-million a year ago, the division’s highest quarterly profit since 2021.
Shell forecast third-quarter integrated gas production of 570,000 to 630,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day after 631,000 boed in the second quarter, and LNG liquefaction volumes of 7.1 million to 7.7 million tons after 7.7 million tons in the second quarter. It expects upstream production of 1.68 million to 1.88 million boed, reflecting higher maintenance activity, following 1.82 million boed in the second quarter. Production at Shell’s Pearl gas-to-liquids plant in Qatar was halted in March after an attack damaged one of the facility’s two trains. Shell has said repairs could take about a year and in the meantime, output in Canada, Nigeria and Australia was helping make up the loss in capacity.
The Middle East accounts for about 20 per cent of Shell’s oil and gas production, or 550,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with about 10 per cent linked to Qatar.
Shell’s net debt dropped to US$41.8-billion, from US$52.6-billion at the end of the first quarter 2026. Its gearing, or debt-to-equity ratio including leases, fell to 18.7 per cent from 23.2 per cent last quarter.
Brent crude averaged about US$97 a barrel in the quarter, while benchmark European gas prices averaged about €46 per megawatt-hour, both up sharply from a year earlier.